10% of the tested cases found negative high correlation with the price (flip phenomena),
but keep the same timing accuracy.
What We Offer?
WHERE DOES IT FIT?
Examples From Recent Events
S&P500 Example April 1st to July 1st 2020 - The Big Bull Run:
S&P500 forecast from April 1 2020 to July 1 2020 provided to the clients predicts accurately the timing of the rally of the markets following the COVID-19 effect. About 60% Fibonacci upward movement in early notification.
S&P500 Example March 13th 2020 - Predicting The Fast Uptrend:
S&P500 forecast from Mar 13 2020 provided to the clients predicts accurately the timing of the rally of the markets following the COVID-19 effect. About 60% Fibonacci upward movement early notification.
S&P500 Example Feb 10t to Mar 13th 2020 - Predicting The GVC (Great Virus Crisis):
S&P500 forecast from Jan 2020 provided to the clients predicts accurately the timing of the fall of the markets following the COVID-19 effect. About 30% Fibo down movement early notification.
When purchasing a forecast, you will get a JPG picture with projection lines indicating the most probable future trend and timing for the selected price instrument (symbol).
Use the annual cycle to determine of the general direction of the stock/commodity/ FOREX UP, DOWN or SIDEWAY, then use the weekly cycle to pick the exact enter or exit timing.
The yellow line is a combination of the annual cycle (dark blue) and the weekly cycle (pink). The annual cycle provides the probable smoothed annual trend while the weekly cycle provides the probable exact timing. By combining the two we get both the trend direction and the exact timing, with lower volatility levels.
These lines are "floating" over the price line, they do not indicate exact price levels.
A review for this new "combined" model with 20 different price instruments is available here.
Annual cycle, (Dark Blue), probable Annual smoothed trend for the year ahead
Weekly cycle, (Pink), probable Weekly cycle, for the most accurate timing
Combined cycle, (Yellow), The operational cycle, combined of the annual and weekly together
Optional Additional Projection Lines
Quarterly cycle (Blue)
Monthly cycle (Green)
Bi-weekly cycle (Orange)
Additional Chart Details
Left side (light blue) - the price history side.
Right side (pink) - the forecast side.
Horizontal red/blue lines - optionally added ZIGAZG indicator statistics for next swing support/resistance price levels.
Vertical lines - optional, manually added specific dates of interests, indication of probable foreseen turning points.
How to use these forecast lines?
The Combined Model (Yellow /Pink lines)
In an uptrend where annual/quarterly/monthly (dark blue/blue/green lines point up), any low in the weekly (yellow/pink) line is an opportunity for buy.
In a downtrend annual/quarterly/monthly (dark blue/blue/green lines point down), any high in the weekly (yellow/pink) line is an opportunity for sell.
When annual trend change direction (up to down or down to up) or goes sideways, use the weekly (yellow/pink ) lines as guidelines for buy/sell signals.
When a correction is anticipated, for example when the annual cycle points up but the monthly cycle points down, the exact timing of the start (local high) of this move may be too soon but the target timing (local low) should be more accurate.
Note-1: the monthly, weekly and combined lines always go hand in hand in the same direction.
Note-2: the monthly, weekly and combined lines may flip regardless of the annual line
Note-3: the annual line may flip regardless of the monthly, weekly and combined lines
Note-4: the lines do not tend to flip suddenly or widely, they may flip in rare occasions and then hold in the new position for many months.
The new projection lines are always a continuation of previous projection lines created a few months before, that enables us to occasionally identify trends, change-in-trends and potential flips much earlier than they happen.
Trade and invest with confidence. Act as a planner instead of constantly reacting to price changes.
Be able to see the full potential of the next swing, and thus to improve your trades dramatically:
- Keep the position much longer than was ever possible before.
- Get into trade much earlier, as you now have an earlier confirmation for change-of-direction.
A stunning tool for opportunity-analysis for crashing stocks, is it an opportunity?
Get a second unbiased opinion for your long term investments
From our experience with hundreds of price instruments, 95% of them correlate with the FutureChart with accuracy of about 85%-95% tested visually. The accuracy relates to timing: the timing accuracy of change-in-trend date may be of a few days (1-3) .
The most effective way to experience projection lines accuracy is by comparing the real price with the forecast visually. Projection lines forecast accuracy depend on the specific price instrument. We do not guarantee 100% accuracy.
The models provides price directions probabilities in different resolutions. In shorter forecast horizons use the weekly model . In longer forecast horizons use the annual model. Or, use the combined model instead.
The following numbers represent our experience but do not represent all possible cases.
Annual model, typically up to a week, maximum a month in a year range
Weekly model, typically up to 1-2 days, maximum +/- 1 weeks in 3 months range
Combined model, typically up to a few days, maximum +/- 1 weeks in 3 months range and
typically up to a week, maximum +/- 2 weeks in 6 months range
Be aware that no system is 100% accurate and that projection lines may in some cases be wrong or inverted.
In about 10% of the cases the lines may show an "flip" direction, up instead of down or down instead of up. The Neural Networks mathematics can provide solutions that are 180 degrees off the trend, it is up to Cycles-Trader to try and align the projection lines with the price. This is a manual process where we are trying to fit curves. This is the reason we sometimes provide a few weeks of out-of-sample period for validation with the forecasts. This process alone cannot be fully mitigated.
When price is trending up and suddenly false, the trigger for that event may be earlier, due to the nature of cycles.
The lines represent a relative direction but not specific price levels
These charts may not b% accurate, the market is always stronger
You must use your trading skills and risk management methods such as stop loss