Next Months Model


The 5-Layer Astro-Based Algorithm For Price Trend Predictions

The 5-Layer model is a prediction algorithm for the next coming months with daily resolution,

designed to provide the answer to: 

"When is the best week to enter or exist a stock in the year ahead".


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle


Example-1: GOLD

Let's star with loading the price history:

The following picture shows the GOLD price until Jan 2018. The loading process also involves price qualification (dividends, splits, alignments etc...)

We want to check if the gold price will go up or down from here?

Legend for this and all other prediction pictures:

Blue side (left)  is the price history.

Pink side (right)  is the future prediction.

Black line or Green/Red candlesticks is the price.

Optional Vertical red lines: Major Dates, added manually. 

Optional Yellow circles indicate probable local inversion of 180 degrees, added manually.


Adding the first layer, the yearly model:

We can see the projection line indicates a top on March 2018 and the bottom on August 2018:

Please note that the model does not provide exact price level indications, only timing.

Verifying the performace of the yearly model:

In the following picture we added the real price for 9 months after it happened, without changing the forecast. This technique is used to verify that the forecast correlates with the real price, assuring that this is an effective forecasting method.

This example shows the very good correlation between the forecast and the real GOLD price. Price moves exactly as was forecated: top on March 2018 and bottom on August 2018.

Adding the 5th layer, the daily model:

The 5th layer has a finer timing granularity and hence a more volatile behavior (choppy).

The following picture shows GOLD forecast with an additional 5th layer of the  model.

We can see the finer granularity of timing on weekly basis, sometimes almost to the date. 

With this granularity, we can now decide to enter the market in two different dates: early on Mid-February 2018 or wait for additional confirmations and enter at End-March 2018.

The combination of a coarse but smoothed line (1st layer) and fine but volatile line (5th layer) projection lines provide a great tool to both visualizing the general trend and assisting with selection of the best timing for market entry-and-exit points. 

The two vertical date-points lines on the graph (marked in red) mark times when both trend lines, the Yearly and the Daily, change direction. These points indicate high probablity dates of major change of direction, which we can forecast months ahead.


How can we benefit using the forecast?

Loss Protection -  by understanding that the up-trend that was valid till Jan-2018 is going to change soon,  we can protect the investment from potential loses by taking action. 

Additional Gain - In this specific case, going short in the first marked-date and exiting on the second marked-date would have generated a 13.88% gain in less than 6 months. As shown in the picture below:



Why are there 5 layers in the model?


The 2nd, 3rd and 4th layers of the model represent Quarterly, Monthly and Bi-weekly trend lines in respect, as shown in the picture below:

These additional trend lines provide additional opportunities for market entry-and-exit dates when a combination of lines change direction. 

The following picture shows all layers of the 5-layer model on GOLD. We can see that the 2nd and 3rd layer point to a probable sideway move between May to June 2018.


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle


I WANT TO PURCHASE THE FORECAST FOR NEXT MONTHS


Example-2: IBM 6 Months


The following picture shows IBM stock   with the 5-Layer model 6-months forecast:

The forecast as was generated and presented on Jan-2017:

5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle

The result including the real price, as presented on July-2017, 6-months later:

How can we benefit using the forecast?

The forecast shows an up trend till March-8 2017 and then a down trend until July 2017. 


One possible investment option: Using the projection lines,  move forward with the following two transactions:

Transaction-1: (9% gain) Buy on Jan 2017 (price=166), Exit on Mar-8 2017 (Price=182)

Transaction-2: (15% gain ) Short on March-8 2017 (Price=182), Exit on July (price=154)

In total, this method should have provided 24% gain


Alternative investment: buy and hold: 

Buy on Jan 2017 (166), sell at Jul-2017 (154) would have resulted 6% loss


Example-3: IBM 1-Year


The following picture shows IBM stock with the 5-Layer model forecast for 1-Year :

The forecast was generated and presented on Jan-2017:


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle


The results including the  real price, as presented on Jan-2018, 12-months later:

As we can see from the examples above, that the 5-Layer model provides mutiple opportunities for high probability trend changes and is a great decision-assisting tool for market timing.


Examples - Detailed Report Examples for IBM

Following are a few example for a report sent to customers that purchased the forecast.

5-Layer 3 Months IBM Example.pdf

5-Layer 6 Months IBM Example.pdf

5-Layer 12 Months IBM Example.pdf



I WANT TO PURCHASE THE FORECAST FOR NEXT MONTHS


Additional Information on the 5-Layer model:


Forecast Method

The 5-Layer model uses artificial intelligence and neural-networks mathematics to find the correlation of the effects of thousands of astronomy (planets movement) events in the past on the price movements and creates a projection line that can be prolonged to the future.


What can be forecast?

The 5-Layer model is agnostic to the price instrument and supports forex, commodities, stocks and indexes.


Accuracy

The most effective way to experience projection lines accuracy is by comparing the results with the forecast visually. Projection lines forecast accuracy depends on the specific price instrument. We do not garantee 100% accuracy.

However, in general,  there is a very high correlation between the projection lines created by the 5-Layer model and  the actual price movements. Past years visual performance of the 5-Layer model are presented within the example for most cases and can easily be generated on demand for others.


5-Layer Model Expected Performance

The 5-Layer model provides price directions probabilities in 5 different resolutions. The correlation of the finer model is better in shorter forecast horizons. The Yearly model is great if we want to see the general trend for next year and the Daily model will be better to see the exact days for timing in the next 3 months:

(1) Yearly model,        (Dark Blue),   up to a month is a year range

(2) Quarterly model (Light Blue),  up to +/- 2 weeks range in 6 months

(3)  Monthly model   (Green),          up to +/- 2 weeks range in 6 months

(4)  Weekly model,      (Orange),       up to +/- 1 weeks range in 3 months

(5)  Daily model         (Velvet),         up to +/- 1 weeks range in 3 months


I WANT TO PURCHASE THE FORECAST FOR NEXT MONTHS


Additional Examples


Bitcoin (BTC-USD)

You can check the Bitcoin (BTC-USD) results for 7 months here.


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle


Crude-Oil


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle



Stocks: Intel, IBM, GE


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle



5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle



5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle


Index - The Indian NIFTY50, 4 Months Forecast


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle



GOLD - 18 Months Forecast


5-Layer Model Description

The 5-Layer model provides future price directions in 5 different resolutions:

 (1) Yearly model       (Dark Blue),   corresponds to a ~250 bars detrended cycle

 (2) Quarterly model,  (Light Blue),  corresponds to a ~100 bars detrended cycle

 (3) Monthly model,    (Green),          corresponds to a  ~50 bars detrended cycle

 (4) Weekly model,      (Orange),       corresponds to a  ~20 bars detrended cycle

 (5) Daily model,          (Velvet),         corresponds to a  ~10 bars detrended cycle


I WANT TO PURCHASE THE FORECAST FOR NEXT MONTHS

Additional Examples