The Corona crisis led to the stock-market collapse in 30%. When will this end?
In the following article I present the performance of the Combined model in a few cases of stock-market crisis where the price went down 20%-30%.
There are 3 views for each case:
We want to see that:
As we can see from the examples head, the forecast indicates very well both the annual change of direction and the exact dates of the bottoms.
If so, When is there a large fall predicted?
When the annual cycle (blue) goes downwards and the weekly cycle (pink) goes sharply down.
How can we identify this is only a correction?
When a correction is predicted only the weekly cycle (pink) goes down while the annual cycle (blue) goes up or stays sideways.
The years analyzed: 1962, 1966, 1969, 1974, 1987, 1946.